Testing the Mill Hypothesis of Fiscal Illusion

Research output: Working paperResearch

According to the Mill hypothesis, the tax burden from indirect taxation is underestimated because indirect taxes are less visible than direct taxes. We experimentally test the Mill hypothesis and identify tax framing as a cause of fiscal illusion. We find that the tax burden associated with an indirect tax is underestimated, whereas this is not the case with an equivalent direct tax. In a referendum to tax and redistribute tax revenue, fiscal illusion is found to distort democratic decisions and to result in excessive redistribution. Yet, voters eventually learn to overcome fiscal illusion.
Original languageEnglish
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 19 Apr 2005
SeriesUniversity of Copenhagen Economics Working Paper
Number04-18

    Research areas

  • Fiscal illusion, voting behavior, indirect taxation, redistribution, learning

ID: 241647209