Strategic Sample Selection
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Strategic Sample Selection. / Di Tillio, Alfredo; Ottaviani, Marco; Sørensen, Peter Norman.
In: Econometrica, Vol. 89, No. 2, 03.2021, p. 911-953.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Strategic Sample Selection
AU - Di Tillio, Alfredo
AU - Ottaviani, Marco
AU - Sørensen, Peter Norman
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2021 The Econometric Society
PY - 2021/3
Y1 - 2021/3
N2 - Are the highest sample realizations selected from a larger presample more or less informative than the same amount of random data? Developing multivariate accuracy for interval dominance ordered preferences, we show that sample selection always benefits (or always harms) a decision maker if the reverse hazard rate of the data distribution is log-supermodular (or log-submodular), as in location experiments with normal noise. We find nonpathological conditions under which the information contained in the winning bids of a symmetric auction decreases in the number of bidders. Exploiting extreme value theory, we quantify the limit amount of information revealed when the presample size (number of bidders) goes to infinity. In a model of equilibrium persuasion with costly information, we derive implications for the optimal design of selected experiments when selection is made by an examinee, a biased researcher, or contending sides with the peremptory challenge right to eliminate a number of jurors.
AB - Are the highest sample realizations selected from a larger presample more or less informative than the same amount of random data? Developing multivariate accuracy for interval dominance ordered preferences, we show that sample selection always benefits (or always harms) a decision maker if the reverse hazard rate of the data distribution is log-supermodular (or log-submodular), as in location experiments with normal noise. We find nonpathological conditions under which the information contained in the winning bids of a symmetric auction decreases in the number of bidders. Exploiting extreme value theory, we quantify the limit amount of information revealed when the presample size (number of bidders) goes to infinity. In a model of equilibrium persuasion with costly information, we derive implications for the optimal design of selected experiments when selection is made by an examinee, a biased researcher, or contending sides with the peremptory challenge right to eliminate a number of jurors.
KW - Accuracy
KW - auctions
KW - comparison of experiments
KW - design of experiments
KW - examinee choice
KW - information aggregation
KW - peremptory challenge
KW - persuasion
KW - strategic selection
KW - welfare
U2 - 10.3982/ECTA17288
DO - 10.3982/ECTA17288
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85102751474
VL - 89
SP - 911
EP - 953
JO - Econometrica
JF - Econometrica
SN - 0012-9682
IS - 2
ER -
ID: 291019411