Exposure to the covid-19 stock market crash and its effect on household expectations
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We survey a representative sample of U.S. households to study how exposure to the COVID-19 stock market crash affects expectations and planned behavior. Wealth shocks are associated with upward adjustments of expectations about retirement age, desired working hours, and household debt but have only small effects on expected spending. We provide correlational and experimental evidence that beliefs about the duration of the stock market recovery shape households’ expectations about their own wealth and their planned investment decisions and labor market activity. Our findings shed light on the implications of household exposure to stock market crashes for expectation formation.
Original language | English |
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Journal | Review of Economics and Statistics |
Volume | 103 |
Issue number | 5 |
Pages (from-to) | 994-1010 |
Number of pages | 17 |
ISSN | 0034-6535 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2 Dec 2021 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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