Discounting disentangled
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Discounting disentangled. / Drupp, Moritz A.; Freeman, Mark C.; Groom, Ben; Nesje, Frikk.
In: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 10, No. 4, 2018, p. 109.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Discounting disentangled
AU - Drupp, Moritz A.
AU - Freeman, Mark C.
AU - Groom, Ben
AU - Nesje, Frikk
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - The economic values of investing in long-term public projects are highly sensitive to the social discount rate (SDR). We surveyed over 200 experts to disentangle disagreement on the risk-free SDR into its component parts, including pure time preference, the wealth effect and return to capital. We show that the majority of experts do not follow the simple Ramsey Rule, a widely-used theoretical discounting framework, when recommending SDRs. Despite disagreement on discounting procedures and point values, we obtain a surprising degree of consensus among experts, with more than three-quarters finding the median risk-free SDR of 2 percent acceptable.
AB - The economic values of investing in long-term public projects are highly sensitive to the social discount rate (SDR). We surveyed over 200 experts to disentangle disagreement on the risk-free SDR into its component parts, including pure time preference, the wealth effect and return to capital. We show that the majority of experts do not follow the simple Ramsey Rule, a widely-used theoretical discounting framework, when recommending SDRs. Despite disagreement on discounting procedures and point values, we obtain a surprising degree of consensus among experts, with more than three-quarters finding the median risk-free SDR of 2 percent acceptable.
U2 - 10.1257/pol.20160240
DO - 10.1257/pol.20160240
M3 - Journal article
VL - 10
SP - 109
JO - American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
JF - American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
SN - 1945-7731
IS - 4
ER -
ID: 248161730