Agricultural Commodity Price Shocks and Their Effect on Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
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Agricultural Commodity Price Shocks and Their Effect on Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. / Addison, Anthony John; Ghoshray, Atanu; Stamatogiannis, Michalis.
In: Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 67, No. 1, 2016, p. 47-61.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Agricultural Commodity Price Shocks and Their Effect on Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
AU - Addison, Anthony John
AU - Ghoshray, Atanu
AU - Stamatogiannis, Michalis
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - Commodity price shocks are an important type of external shock and are often cited as a problem for economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. We choose nine Sub-Saharan African countries that are heavily dependent on a single agricultural commodity for a significant portion of their income. This paper quantifies the impact of agricultural commodity price shocks using a structural non-linear dynamic model. The novel aspect of this study is that we determine whether the response of per capita GDP for the selected Sub-Saharan African countries is different to unexpected increases in agricultural commodity prices as opposed to decreases in prices. We conclude that there is very little evidence that an unanticipated price increase (decrease) will lead to a significantly different response in per capita incomes.
AB - Commodity price shocks are an important type of external shock and are often cited as a problem for economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. We choose nine Sub-Saharan African countries that are heavily dependent on a single agricultural commodity for a significant portion of their income. This paper quantifies the impact of agricultural commodity price shocks using a structural non-linear dynamic model. The novel aspect of this study is that we determine whether the response of per capita GDP for the selected Sub-Saharan African countries is different to unexpected increases in agricultural commodity prices as opposed to decreases in prices. We conclude that there is very little evidence that an unanticipated price increase (decrease) will lead to a significantly different response in per capita incomes.
U2 - 10.1111/1477-9552.12129
DO - 10.1111/1477-9552.12129
M3 - Journal article
VL - 67
SP - 47
EP - 61
JO - Journal of Agricultural Economics
JF - Journal of Agricultural Economics
SN - 0021-857X
IS - 1
ER -
ID: 334021679