Estimation bias and bias correction in reduced rank autoregressions

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This paper characterizes the finite-sample bias of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in a reduced rank vector autoregression and suggests two simulation-based bias corrections. One is a simple bootstrap implementation that approximates the bias at the MLE. The other is an iterative root-finding algorithm implemented using stochastic approximation methods. Both algorithms are shown to be improvements over the MLE, measured in terms of mean square error and mean absolute deviation. An illustration to US macroeconomic time series is given.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEconometric Reviews
Volume38
Issue number3
Pages (from-to) 332-349
Number of pages18
ISSN0747-4938
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Mar 2019

    Research areas

  • Bias correction, bootstrap, cointegration, estimation bias, stochastic approximation, vector autoregression, C32, C13

ID: 186156542